Barnsley vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
EVE
73%
16%
10%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
SOU
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
BRO
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
STF
3 - 1
BAR
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 0
BAR
31%
26%
42%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
NOT
0 - 0
OLD
43%
26%
30%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
POR
2 - 2
NOT
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
NOT
1 - 2
SWI
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
MKD
2 - 1
NOT
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BCF
4 - 0
NOT
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |