Barnsley vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1938 |
BAR
0 - 0
NOR
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1938 |
COV
1 - 0
BAR
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1938 |
BAR
1 - 1
COV
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1938 |
PLY
2 - 2
BAR
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1938 |
BAR
1 - 1
CHE
52%
23%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1938 |
CHE
1 - 0
NTT
66%
18%
16%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1938 |
NTT
1 - 0
PLY
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1938 |
LUT
2 - 2
NTT
64%
19%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1938 |
BBU
5 - 1
NTT
67%
18%
15%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1938 |
NTT
1 - 0
LUT
58%
20%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |