Barnsley vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2002 |
BAR
2 - 1
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
NOT
3 - 2
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
BAR
0 - 1
MAN
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
CRE
2 - 0
BAR
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
BAR
2 - 2
OLD
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2002 |
POS
0 - 0
NOR
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
NOR
0 - 1
CHE
49%
27%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2002 |
STO
4 - 0
NOR
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2002 |
NOR
0 - 1
CAM
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
NOR
0 - 4
TRA
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |