Barnsley vs Newcastle U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAM
0 - 3
BAR
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
POR
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SHW
0 - 2
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 3
LIN
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
IPS
2 - 2
BAR
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
NWC
2 - 1
NOT
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
DON
0 - 0
NWC
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
NWC
4 - 0
DCO
72%
16%
12%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
NOR
4 - 2
NWC
78%
15%
8%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
NWC
0 - 1
STC
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |