Barnsley vs Man. Utd U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
13.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 2
BAR
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
WIG
1 - 1
BAR
32%
24%
44%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
MAN
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 4
ROM
18%
23%
59%
|
70 | 93 | 23 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 3
DER
40%
24%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Man. Utd U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ARS
4 - 2
MAN
54%
21%
25%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 3
MAN
33%
22%
46%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ARS
6 - 2
MAN
52%
22%
26%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
SOU
3 - 6
MAN
43%
23%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
NOT
0 - 0
MAN
42%
23%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |