Barnsley vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
44.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2004 |
BAR
0 - 1
POS
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
GRI
6 - 1
BAR
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
BAR
0 - 0
WYC
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
WRE
1 - 0
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 2
HAR
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
POS
1 - 2
LUT
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
GRI
3 - 2
LUT
27%
24%
49%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
LUT
4 - 1
BRE
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
WYC
0 - 0
LUT
29%
24%
47%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2004 |
LUT
2 - 0
BHA
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |