EFL Cup 1/32
Global 1-2
Barnsley vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
BAR
1 - 3
QPR
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
BAR
3 - 0
STO
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
MAC
1 - 2
BAR
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
BAR
2 - 0
ROC
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
BAR
3 - 0
REA
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
WAL
1 - 0
GIL
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
LUT
2 - 1
GIL
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
GIL
1 - 0
BUR
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
GIL
2 - 0
SWA
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
GIL
0 - 1
CHE
46%
28%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |