Barnsley vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
24.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BRI
2 - 1
BAR
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 3
SHE
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
MID
2 - 0
BAR
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
REA
1 - 0
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
MIL
44%
28%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
DER
1 - 2
BBU
32%
28%
41%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
COV
1 - 1
DER
52%
27%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
DER
2 - 2
LUT
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PNE
0 - 0
DER
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
DER
0 - 0
SWA
23%
26%
52%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |