Barnsley vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 3
MIL
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LEI
1 - 2
BAR
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 4
SWA
28%
26%
47%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
DON
2 - 0
BAR
29%
27%
43%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
BAR
4 - 1
LEE
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
DER
0 - 2
STO
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 0
DER
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
DER
1 - 0
COV
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
DER
1 - 0
CRY
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
HUL
0 - 1
DER
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |