Barnsley vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
HAR
1 - 2
BAR
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
LUT
0 - 1
BAR
56%
23%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2003 |
BAR
2 - 1
BRI
38%
26%
37%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 1
SHW
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
BRI
0 - 0
BAR
57%
23%
21%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
CHE
2 - 1
POS
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
SHW
0 - 0
CHE
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
CHE
2 - 2
TRA
31%
28%
42%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
LUT
1 - 0
CHE
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 1
OLD
31%
28%
41%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |