Barnsley vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
DON
51%
25%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
SCU
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 1
BAR
46%
26%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 2
COL
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
5 - 0
BUR
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 0
AFC
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
NUN
3 - 2
CHE
22%
23%
55%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
DAR
2 - 4
CHE
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 2
BRO
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 0
GAT
29%
27%
45%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |