Barnet vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
MAC
3 - 0
BAR
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
5 - 2
LIN
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
3 - 1
CHE
59%
24%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
GRI
4 - 1
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
NOT
0 - 0
BAR
39%
28%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
WRE
0 - 0
DAG
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
BRE
2 - 0
WRE
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
WRE
2 - 1
BCF
31%
29%
41%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
WYC
2 - 1
WRE
57%
25%
18%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
CHE
0 - 2
WRE
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |