Barnet vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
56%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
LIN
1 - 0
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 2
POR
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 1
BAR
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
LUT
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
ALD
1 - 1
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
WAT
1 - 1
DON
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
WAT
3 - 1
DER
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
COV
2 - 3
WAT
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
WAT
0 - 1
BIR
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 0
WAT
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |