Barnet vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
GRI
3 - 1
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
LIN
4 - 1
BAR
37%
26%
36%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
ALD
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 2
DOV
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
ALD
1 - 3
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 0
CHE
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
DER
1 - 0
SOU
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
KID
0 - 1
SOU
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 1
WRE
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
WOK
1 - 2
SOU
61%
21%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |