FA Cup 1/128
Global 3-4
Barnet vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
49.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
BRA
3 - 3
BAR
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
STF
2 - 2
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 1
EXE
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 1
WYC
31%
27%
41%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
ROT
3 - 4
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
SCU
1 - 0
ROC
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
BRE
1 - 2
ROC
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 2
ROC
24%
26%
50%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
ROC
3 - 1
ALD
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
ROC
6 - 1
CHE
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |