Barnet vs Plymouth Parkway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
WEA
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
STA
1 - 0
BAR
67%
18%
15%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
GUL
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
CHM
0 - 1
BAR
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
OLD
0 - 2
BAR
38%
23%
39%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Plymouth Parkway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 0
PLY
79%
14%
8%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
HAN
1 - 0
PLY
38%
21%
41%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
OXF
1 - 1
PLY
69%
17%
15%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PLY
3 - 1
HAY
33%
24%
43%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PLY
3 - 1
BRI
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |