Barnet vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
MKD
3 - 1
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 0
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 1
COL
31%
26%
42%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
BOS
2 - 1
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 1
BCF
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2007 |
PLY
3 - 2
COV
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2007 |
PLY
2 - 1
POS
66%
21%
12%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
NOR
1 - 3
PLY
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
POS
1 - 1
PLY
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
PLY
1 - 1
SOU
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |