Barnet vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 1
BAR
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
WYC
0 - 0
BAR
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
4 - 0
NOR
30%
26%
45%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 4
PLY
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
LEY
1 - 0
BAR
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
WYC
1 - 3
OXF
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 0
OXF
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
OXF
5 - 0
STA
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
POR
3 - 0
OXF
61%
23%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 4
OXF
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |