Barnet vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
BRO
2 - 0
BAR
44%
27%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
BAR
3 - 2
ROC
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
GAI
1 - 3
BAR
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
HAR
0 - 1
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2006 |
CHE
3 - 2
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2006 |
GRI
0 - 2
NOR
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
SCU
1 - 0
NOR
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
NOR
0 - 0
GRI
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
NOR
1 - 1
BPO
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
NOR
1 - 0
SWA
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |