Barnet vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
HER
1 - 2
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 1
WYC
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ROT
0 - 0
BAR
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
BAR
4 - 2
LIN
36%
26%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 1
BAR
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 1
BRA
52%
25%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
BCF
1 - 0
MOR
59%
24%
18%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
SOU
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 2
MOR
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 0
MOR
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |