Barnet vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
53.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
BAR
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 3
OXF
28%
24%
48%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
EAS
3 - 2
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
IPS
22%
23%
56%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 3
BAR
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MIL
3 - 0
OLD
68%
21%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
MIL
1 - 1
BRE
39%
25%
37%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
DOV
2 - 0
MIL
21%
23%
56%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
DAR
0 - 3
MIL
10%
17%
74%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 1
MIL
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -2 |