Barnet vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
STO
2 - 0
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
BAR
3 - 3
MKD
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2006 |
POS
1 - 1
BAR
44%
25%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
BCF
2 - 2
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
LEE
3 - 1
BAR
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
LIN
2 - 0
HAR
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
LIN
0 - 2
BCF
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2006 |
BOS
1 - 0
LIN
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
WYC
1 - 3
LIN
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
LIN
2 - 3
MKD
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |