Barnet vs Leigh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
NOR
1 - 1
BAR
16%
22%
61%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 1
BUR
52%
24%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
HER
2 - 0
BAR
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
BAR
0 - 0
SCA
51%
25%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
BAR
0 - 1
STF
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Leigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
LEI
0 - 5
HER
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
LEI
1 - 0
NOR
63%
21%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2004 |
HAL
2 - 1
LEI
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
LEI
0 - 1
BUR
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
LEI
1 - 2
EBB
32%
24%
45%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |