Barnet vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 0
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
KID
1 - 0
BAR
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 1
GAT
45%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 3
WOK
56%
24%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 2
BAR
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
WRE
2 - 0
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
HER
0 - 0
HYD
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
GRI
1 - 1
HER
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
HER
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
HER
0 - 2
WRE
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |