Barnet vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
STA
2 - 1
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
SWI
2 - 1
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
BAR
0 - 1
GUL
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
RUS
1 - 2
BAR
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
BAR
0 - 0
STO
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
HER
2 - 0
CHE
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
HER
1 - 2
LIN
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
STO
0 - 2
HER
30%
25%
46%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
HAL
2 - 3
HER
32%
24%
44%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2006 |
HER
3 - 2
MOR
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |