Barnet vs Fylde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
ALD
0 - 1
BAR
32%
24%
44%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
WEA
0 - 3
BAR
20%
23%
57%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 1
BRA
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 1
ALT
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GAT
2 - 0
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
FYL
1 - 2
TAM
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FYL
1 - 1
WOK
52%
25%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
FYL
2 - 1
SOU
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
YOR
3 - 0
FYL
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 0
FYL
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |