Barnet vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
GRI
2 - 2
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
POS
22%
21%
57%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
STF
3 - 0
BAR
40%
25%
36%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 2
HAR
57%
23%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 2
BAR
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
CRE
1 - 4
CHE
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CRE
1 - 2
PLY
31%
28%
42%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
CRE
0 - 2
CHE
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 1
CRE
46%
25%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
LEY
0 - 2
CRE
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |