Barnet vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 6
CON
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CON
0 - 0
BAR
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
GUL
1 - 2
BAR
40%
26%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 1
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
BRO
2 - 1
BAR
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
CHE
0 - 3
BAR
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 1
CHE
34%
24%
42%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
CHE
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 0
AFC
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
NUN
3 - 2
CHE
22%
23%
55%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |