FA Cup 1/32
Global 0-4
Barnet vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
76.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
17.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.4%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1993 |
BAR
1 - 1
BUR
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1993 |
BHA
1 - 0
BAR
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1993 |
HUL
4 - 4
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1993 |
CRA
1 - 2
BAR
64%
19%
17%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1993 |
BAR
2 - 1
ROT
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1994 |
CHL
4 - 2
EVE
45%
28%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1994 |
SWI
1 - 3
CHL
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1993 |
CHL
1 - 0
NEW
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1993 |
SOU
3 - 1
CHL
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1993 |
CHL
1 - 1
IPS
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |