FA Cup 1/128
Global 2-1
Barnet vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 3
SOU
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
SCU
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 3
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
MAI
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 0
WES
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +4 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
BAT
0 - 1
CHM
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CHM
5 - 0
EAS
57%
23%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
TON
1 - 0
CHM
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHM
2 - 1
HEM
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CHM
2 - 0
ALD
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |