Barnet vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
BRO
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
NOR
3 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
CAM
2 - 1
BAR
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
BAR
4 - 2
CRA
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CUM
2 - 2
YEO
70%
17%
12%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
CUM
0 - 2
PLY
57%
23%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CUM
3 - 0
NOT
65%
19%
16%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
OXF
1 - 1
CUM
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
WEL
0 - 5
CUM
22%
24%
54%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |