Barnet vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 0
POS
50%
26%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
STF
0 - 1
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 1
MAN
48%
25%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
WYC
1 - 1
BAR
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
BAR
0 - 1
GRI
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
STA
1 - 1
BCF
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
BCF
0 - 1
HAR
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
BCF
2 - 0
STO
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2006 |
CHE
1 - 3
BCF
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
MAN
0 - 2
BCF
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |