FA Cup 1/16
Global 4-6
Barnet vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
75.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
BRA
4 - 0
BAR
17%
23%
60%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
DOR
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
SHE
0 - 1
BAR
79%
15%
6%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
BOR
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
DAG
0 - 1
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
ROT
2 - 4
BRE
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BRE
3 - 1
STO
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
BRE
1 - 0
OXF
62%
21%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
BRE
1 - 1
NOR
30%
25%
45%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
BIR
0 - 0
BRE
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |