Barnet vs Bath City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
EBB
1 - 0
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
STO
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 2
GAT
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
BRO
1 - 2
BAR
60%
21%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 3
BAR
39%
26%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
BAT
1 - 2
BIL
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
BAT
1 - 1
CON
51%
25%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
HOR
1 - 2
BAT
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BAT
1 - 0
EAS
62%
22%
17%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
WEA
3 - 3
BAT
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |