Barnet vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 2
BAR
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
4 - 0
DAR
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NUN
0 - 2
BAR
33%
28%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
LIN
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
BRO
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ALF
0 - 2
BRA
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
GRI
7 - 0
ALF
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ALF
2 - 3
WRE
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 0
ALF
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
KID
3 - 0
ALF
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |