EFL Cup 1/64
Global 3-4
Barnet vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
LIN
0 - 0
BAR
54%
24%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
BAR
2 - 2
EXE
49%
26%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
BOU
2 - 0
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
CHE
0 - 2
BAR
47%
27%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
LEY
2 - 2
BAR
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
BOU
4 - 0
COL
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
BRI
3 - 1
BOU
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
BOU
2 - 0
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
BOU
2 - 1
CAM
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
BOU
0 - 0
WRE
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |