Barnechea vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
63.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 1
UNI
15%
21%
65%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 0
BAR
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
NUB
3 - 3
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
NTA
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CUR
0 - 1
BAR
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 2
UCO
32%
25%
43%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
2 - 1
UNI
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
UCO
16%
23%
61%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
UCO
3 - 0
UCH
46%
25%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ACS
1 - 2
UCO
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |