Barnechea vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 2
MAG
53%
24%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 3
CSL
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CDM
0 - 2
BAR
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
CSD
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
USF
2 - 1
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
USF
0 - 0
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
PUE
55%
25%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CSD
1 - 2
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
CDM
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |