Barnechea vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
COQ
1 - 2
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
EVE
41%
26%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
BAR
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAN
39%
27%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
MAG
1 - 0
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
COQ
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
EVE
0 - 0
SAN
43%
26%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAN
69%
18%
12%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAN
54%
23%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
MAG
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |