Copa Chile 1/16
Global 3-5
Barnechea vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
51.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
LIM
39%
24%
36%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
LIM
2 - 2
BAR
52%
24%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
UCO
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 1
BAR
39%
27%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
ANT
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SCF
0 - 4
PAL
9%
15%
76%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
COQ
0 - 0
PAL
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ACS
1 - 2
PAL
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
BOL
3 - 1
PAL
51%
22%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 1
UNI
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |