Barnechea vs Magallanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
USF
1 - 1
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 3
DEP
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
CUR
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
LOT
0 - 2
BAR
23%
25%
52%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
MAG
2 - 1
SAN
36%
26%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
MAG
2 - 2
USF
26%
28%
46%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
DLS
3 - 2
MAG
63%
22%
16%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
MAG
3 - 0
COQ
43%
26%
30%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
MAG
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |