Barnechea vs Lota Schwager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
BAR
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 3
NTA
62%
23%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
4 - 0
BAR
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 3
BAR
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
PAL
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
LOT
0 - 1
CON
38%
26%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CUR
2 - 1
LOT
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
LOT
1 - 1
HUA
7%
14%
78%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
0 - 0
LOT
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
HUA
0 - 0
LOT
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | +1 |