Barnechea vs Deportes Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
9º
2º
35
3º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 69 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 51 |
4º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 42 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 36 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 34 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 34 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 30 |
15º
|
75% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
53.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
46% | 69% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 31% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 0
BAR
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 2
PAL
25%
24%
51%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
LIM
39%
24%
36%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
LIM
2 - 2
BAR
52%
24%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
UCO
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
DSC
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
DSC
1 - 1
COL
17%
21%
61%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ACS
0 - 2
DSC
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +2 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
DSC
1 - 1
ACS
19%
22%
60%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
REN
2 - 3
DSC
34%
24%
42%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |