Copa Chile 1/32
Global 5-0
Barnechea vs Deportes Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2018 |
DSC
0 - 1
BAR
32%
24%
44%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
DLS
0 - 1
BAR
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 1
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 2
MAG
53%
24%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 3
CSL
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2018 |
DSC
0 - 1
BAR
32%
24%
44%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SAU
1 - 0
DSC
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
DSC
3 - 3
CAU
60%
22%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
DSC
1 - 1
SAU
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MAL
0 - 2
DSC
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |