Barnechea vs Curicó Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
40.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
9º
4º
16
1º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 58 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 54 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 51 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 49 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 46 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 44 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 43 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 41 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 37 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 36 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 28 |
15º
|
57% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 16 |
16º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
72% | 48.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
16% | 50% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DSC
1 - 1
BAR
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 3
SAN
42%
26%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
PUE
0 - 3
BAR
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
SWA
35%
28%
38%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DER
1 - 2
BAR
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CUR
2 - 0
USF
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CUR
2 - 0
SAU
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
CUR
0 - 1
COL
24%
26%
51%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PAL
4 - 0
CUR
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
CUR
3 - 4
MAG
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |