Barnechea vs Curicó Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
COQ
2 - 1
BAR
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 3
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
MAG
0 - 2
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
LOT
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2012 |
CUR
2 - 3
SAN
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
PUE
4 - 1
CUR
42%
26%
33%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CUR
2 - 1
UNI
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
CUR
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CUR
1 - 1
NTA
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |