Barnechea vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
ACS
3 - 0
BAR
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
ACS
19%
22%
59%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
MAG
2 - 2
BAR
25%
25%
50%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 6
UCO
21%
23%
56%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
PAL
24%
27%
49%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
CON
1 - 3
COL
13%
20%
67%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
COL
3 - 1
CON
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
HUA
12%
19%
68%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | +2 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
NUB
0 - 0
CON
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
USF
2 - 2
CON
64%
22%
15%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |