Barnechea vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
40.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 1
BAR
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
ACS
4 - 1
BAR
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 2
ACS
15%
19%
66%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
NTA
0 - 6
BAR
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
BAR
5 - 1
CAU
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
COL
4 - 0
DLS
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
DLS
3 - 1
IBE
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
DLS
4 - 1
COL
14%
21%
65%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
DLS
1 - 1
PUE
50%
27%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CUR
0 - 1
DLS
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |