Barnechea vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MAG
1 - 2
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 1
USF
27%
28%
45%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 3
BAR
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 0
CON
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CUR
2 - 1
BAR
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
DLS
0 - 0
NTA
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CUR
0 - 0
DLS
22%
24%
54%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
DLS
2 - 3
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MAG
4 - 3
DLS
21%
24%
56%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
DLS
1 - 1
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |