Copa Chile 1/16
Global 2-6
Barnechea vs Audax Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
66%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2017 |
NTA
0 - 6
BAR
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
BAR
5 - 1
CAU
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
DSC
3 - 1
BAR
52%
24%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
5 - 0
LOT
64%
22%
15%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
VAL
1 - 0
BAR
34%
25%
42%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
ACS
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ACS
0 - 3
UCO
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ACS
3 - 0
SWA
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ANT
1 - 0
ACS
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
EVE
2 - 2
ACS
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |